Birchcliff Energy Stock Performance

BIREF Stock  USD 4.83  0.02  0.42%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.62, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Birchcliff Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Birchcliff Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Birchcliff Energy has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to confirm Birchcliff Energy's kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Birchcliff Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Birchcliff Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow60 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-247.4 M
  

Birchcliff Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  554.00  in Birchcliff Energy on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (71.00) from holding Birchcliff Energy or give up 12.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. Birchcliff Energy is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 2.0138% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 18% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Birchcliff, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Birchcliff Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Birchcliff Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Birchcliff Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.83 90 days 4.83 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Birchcliff Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Birchcliff Energy probability density function shows the probability of Birchcliff Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Birchcliff Energy has a beta of 0.62 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Birchcliff Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Birchcliff Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Birchcliff Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Birchcliff Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Birchcliff Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Birchcliff Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Birchcliff Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.824.836.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.055.067.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.624.646.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.254.855.03
Details

Birchcliff Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Birchcliff Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Birchcliff Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Birchcliff Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Birchcliff Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Birchcliff Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Birchcliff Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Birchcliff Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Birchcliff Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Birchcliff Energy has accumulated 500.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.15, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Birchcliff Energy has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Birchcliff Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Birchcliff Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Birchcliff Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Birchcliff to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Birchcliff Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Birchcliff Energy Fundamentals Growth

Birchcliff Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Birchcliff Energy, and Birchcliff Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Birchcliff Pink Sheet performance.

About Birchcliff Energy Performance

By analyzing Birchcliff Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Birchcliff Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Birchcliff Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Birchcliff Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Birchcliff Energy Ltd., an intermediate oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, light oil, condensate, and natural gas liquids in Western Canada. Birchcliff Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 204 people.

Things to note about Birchcliff Energy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Birchcliff Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Birchcliff Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Birchcliff Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Birchcliff Energy has accumulated 500.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.15, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Birchcliff Energy has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Birchcliff Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Birchcliff Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Birchcliff Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Birchcliff to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Birchcliff Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Birchcliff Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Birchcliff Energy's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Birchcliff Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Birchcliff Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Birchcliff Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Birchcliff Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Birchcliff Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Birchcliff Energy's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Birchcliff Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Birchcliff Energy's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Birchcliff Energy's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Birchcliff Pink Sheet analysis

When running Birchcliff Energy's price analysis, check to measure Birchcliff Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Birchcliff Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Birchcliff Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Birchcliff Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Birchcliff Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Birchcliff Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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